Are the deals drying up, or is it time for a change in strategy?

In many desireable locations, the well is going dry. 

LAS VEGAS NEVADA, fore example is one of the hardes hit foreclosure and loan default cities in the nation, but some investors are complaining that it’s too hard to secure a deal, and the competition is too fierce to obtain the margins necessary to make a profit.

According to a recent Wall Street Journal article, even investors with cash are finding it hard as many banks receive 20 offers in days on properties – often escalating the prices well above asking price.  Other outside groups are buying blocks of homes, sight-unseen and many investors cannot afford that risk.

Meanwhile, In Spokane Washington…
We’re seeing an increasing amount of inventory for Bank Owned Propeties.  I have made agressive cash offers on dozens, for many of my investor clients.  Most were too agressive for the bank’s liking.  Most, were extreme fixer-upper’s with no room to make the necessary repairs and sell in today’s market for profit.  Four to five years ago, we saw rapid appreciation where one gained value in their home while the grass grew, we’re not so fortunate in today’s market.  To make money on a flip, the property has to be bought right.  The numbers have to work before you buy, or they never will.

No matter how many flashy elements, slabs of granite, travertine tiles or plasma TV’s you put into a home, it’s still worth what it’s worth and if you paid too much, well good luck turning a profit.

What’s my point you ask?

My point is that buying bank owned properties is a numbers game.  You cannot get hung up on the two or three propeties you didn’t get.  Educate yourself on price, needed repairs and your exit strategy.  Make you best offer with those factors in mind, and walk away if you don’t get it.  Try-Fail-Adjust.

In 2008 and 2009, banks would jump for quick-close cash offers.  The quick exit seemed to be a viable strategy for them to get many of these propeties off their books, but it affected the bottom line poorly.  Today, banks are looking at bottom line net AND the strength of the buyer.  Most will counter a 5 day close with a 25-30 day close, and will not rush to close any sooner.   It’s become a timing game.

As a property ages on the MLS, banks strategically drop the price small frations at a time.  Depending on the age of the price redution and the current price, I speculate that most banks have a formula or range that would be an acceptable offer (at least I would if I were in their shoes).  It will take multiple offers on the SAME house over time to get the deal you want. 

Patience Grasshopper

Just as the banks have strategised a plan to yield the highest and best offers possible, you must strategize a plan to get them where you want.  The swing hard make ‘em hurt method hasn’t worked in a while (i.e. $100,000 property and offer $30,000), most times this will get shut down right away.  If your end goal was $70,000 I’ve found it wiser and more efficient to start closer to your goal and hold firm over multiple offers several week’s apart.  Don’t worry if someone comes in and pays $90,000 – you weren’t willing to pay that anyway, let them have it.  Eventually, barring any interest to the contrary, your $70,000 offer will start looking attractive.   The trick is to have multiple irons in the fire and negotiate many deals at once.  And you must have a great agent.

Like me. :)

Stop Acting Rich…

I thought this was an AMAZING article, and I’m going to read this book – totally excited about it. From the Author who brought you “The Millionaire Next Door” and “The Millionaire Mind” brings you the new book, “Stop Acting Rich.” which examines the psychology of how most people perceive “wealth.”  As Rob Minton, the author of the article put it:

“… that most people look rich because they live in big homes or drive expensive cars, but when examined closely, they have accumulated very low levels of wealth. In other words, they wear big hats but have no cattle….”

Looking around, I’ve found it to be very true.  Most people are concerned about appearances and when it comes down to brass tacks, haven’t done anything to build wealth, but have worked excruciatingly hard on building the appearance of wealth. Now don’t get me wrong… it’s fine to have nice things, but the point of the article is that most who have accumulated great wealth — prioritize investment OVER possessions. I was BLOWN away by this excerpt:

“If you examine homes by value from the lowest to the highest, you would find that as the value of the homes increases, so does the proportion of people who are living well above their means.”

Now, I don’t know if that’s 100% true in EVERY market but I sat down after reading this and asked my self… as a Real Estate Professional – I HELP people make these large decisions for themselves – what can I do to help, and what direction is my advice pointing my home buyers?

Good question, right?

I thought so…  Back to the article, is “Buying the Worst House on the Best Street sound advice?”  In Real Estate there is TONS of opportunity in UGLY (and I mean Ugly) houses in desirable neighborhoods.   The question one must examine is this…. am I making this buying decision to impress my friends or increase my lifetime wealth.  You CAN do both, but both perspectives have totally different motivations. If you intend to increase your wealth, you must look at dollars and cents.

I think it’s smart to buy a fixer in an area you desire — so long as you’re not extending yourself beyond reasonable limits.  Now I’m NOT a financial planner, but I am an extremely conservative spender / investor… You have MORE ownership expenses in a home than simply your mortgage.  You need to be able to afford to maintain and improve your home if you want to make money with it.  Simply owning a home and sitting on it will not make you the money you need in this current market.

Going Green at #IBS2010

There’s definately a new trend in homebuilding emerging.  Green.

Walking through opening day of the International Builder Show has shown a tremendous effort to provide eco-sustainable and eco-friendly living environments for more affordable prices.  Traditionally this technology has been quite spendy (and relative to many main-stream non-eco-friendly options, current eco-friendly options are still a notch or two higher in price).

I have been a fan of a more responsible approach to the way we conduct our lives, and the adoption of new building standards and techniques to minimize waste and improve the quality of life, is win-win.

wind-turbineSome of my favorite “eco-booths” were the Honeywell Wind Turbine and the Eco-Cottages.  The Honeywell Wind Turbine is designed to be a consumer grade wind tubine to help generate supplemental energy for your home.  Despite other turbine models that need elevations of 60 feet and unmanagable wing-spans the Honewell Turbine is designed to perch on your rooftop or similar structure.

According to the manufacturer the turbine can produce up to 18% of an average household’s energy assuming there is an average of a class 3 wind (5-6 mph).  The annual average wind speed in Spokane WA is 8.9 MPH, more than enough.  According to some online retailers of these turbines, one can be acquird for as little as $6,000 (not including any retro-fitting to accomodate installation).  The average cost savings to a home would be in the ball park of $20-$30/month (making  a recoup on investment about 16 years assuming steady energy costs).

My next favorite, and definately the coolest thing I’ve seen in a while are the Eco-Cottages.  These simple, compact and higly efficient dwellings are designed with panelized construction to minimize wast and are extremely efficient.IMG00433-20100119-1443

Entry costs for a studio unit are around $49,000 with installation being around $7,000.  They also have some great, “off the grid” wilderness packages with solar and alternative energy and water resources.  A great tool and a viable option for a lake or river home.

We’ll be spending some more time at the booth’s today looking at new (and old) ideas.  There’s a chance we may integrate many of these into our upcoming building project…

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